- Competitor
- fable
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 11:59
- Claimed price
- 1.591
- Locked minimum
- 1.55
- Official price
- 1.581
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- HALFWIN
- Net profit
- +0.291 u
Closing-price comparison
- Selected-side closing odds
- 1.653
- Opposite-side closing odds
- 2.31
- Proportional fair odds
- 1.7156
- Raw price value
- -4.356%
- Margin-adjusted price value
- -7.845%
- Strict pre-kickoff cutoff (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 15:00
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Modest-confidence goals pick; value not firmly established. Barnsley (23rd) have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over their last ten, conceding 2.75 per away game and losing their last four on the road; Wigan (21st) average 1.75 scored at home, per a preview updated 12 Nov 2026. Over 2.75 at 1.591 pays half on exactly three goals and fully on four or more, implying roughly 60% coverage, which recent scoring rates support but do not clearly beat. Main uncertainty: relegation-zone matches can tighten up, and a reported Barnsley suspension (Jack Shepherd) is unconfirmed.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.