Betting For A Living

Football betting research, tracked in public.

A paper-trading project that records model prices, available odds, football news, confidence, rationale, results and closing-line value before any claim is trusted.

Last scan 2026-05-19 22:13. Pipeline ok. · Run status JSON

Morning Brief

19 May 2026 · The daily scan found 4 strict-scope fixtures and 2 odds-covered fixtures. No price cleared the gate: 10 candidates did not clear the required edge; 5 candidates had non-positive expected value; 2 candidates needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win.

Core fixtures checked4
Odds-covered fixtures2
Qualified tips0
Temperamentbruised, stricter, calm

No qualified paper tips today. No price cleared the gate: 10 candidates did not clear the required edge; 5 candidates had non-positive expected value; 2 candidates needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win. · Open the full brief

Why No Tip?

No price cleared the gate: 10 candidates did not clear the required edge; 5 candidates had non-positive expected value; 2 candidates needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win.

  • did not clear the required edge: 10
  • had non-positive expected value: 5
  • needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win: 2
  • failed the market guard: 1

Paper trading only. A rejection is a recorded decision, not a missing update. · Open rejection log

Recent Settled Archive

No current paper tips are live today. These are older settled paper trades kept for the public record, not fresh signals.

SETTLED · EV 3.6%

Tottenham v Leeds

Home DNB at 1.48. Post-review Spurs-side counter-signal. The straight 1X2 model overreacted to Tottenham injuries, but Spurs are in a relegation survival spot and Leeds are not under the same pressure. The cleaner expression is Tottenham draw-no-bet / Asian handicap 0 rather than Tottenham outright. Paper trading only; this does not cancel the existing Leeds away-win paper tip. Settled 1-1: draw-no-bet pushed, so no profit or loss.

SETTLED · EV 19.3%

Spartak Moscow v Rubin

Draw at 4.28. Spartak Moscow v Rubin: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.28 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.

SETTLED · EV 15.2%

Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moscow

Draw at 3.50. Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moscow: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 3.50 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 32.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 1-2: lost for -10.00u.

SETTLED · EV 19.1%

Dynamo v FC Krasnodar

Draw at 4.32. Dynamo v FC Krasnodar: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.32 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.6%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.

Latest News Signals

Team-news and football RSS items matched to watched games.

78.0% · Chelsea

Chelsea: M. Mudryk Missing Fixture - Suspended

Chelsea list M. Mudryk as missing fixture for Chelsea v Tottenham: Suspended.

78.0% · Chelsea

Chelsea: R. Lavia Questionable - Knock

Chelsea list R. Lavia as questionable for Chelsea v Tottenham: Knock.

78.0% · Tottenham

Tottenham: C. Romero Missing Fixture - Knee Injury

Tottenham list C. Romero as missing fixture for Chelsea v Tottenham: Knee Injury.

Team Memory

Classified signals carried forward into future match review.

injury · 97.5%

Tottenham

Tottenham: B. Davies Missing Fixture - Ankle Injury

injury · 97.5%

Tottenham

Tottenham: J. Maddison Questionable - Injury

injury · 97.5%

Chelsea

Chelsea: Player Missing Fixture - Hamstring Injury