Current Decision
No bet now. Next kickoff watch: Belgium v Iran Under 2.5; record only if a real bookmaker reaches 2.198+.
Not ready for income staking: 0 actual placements; broad positive-EV backtest ROI -3.1%; 0 settled staked live recommendations; default 5% EV gate has 6 historical bets
Actual bets0Bookmaker slips recorded
Proof signals0Candidates only, not income stakes
Every-game picks5Forced card, separate record
Watch rows6Need better prices or confirmation
Every-game forced card
This card deliberately forces one pick per upcoming priced fixture. It is not the actual bookmaker ledger.
| Match | Market | Selection | Seen | Needed | Model | EV | Stake | Status | Source and rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium v Iran 2026-06-21 19:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 2.12 | 2.113+ | 47.3% | 0.3% | 0.005u | FORCED_POSITIVE_EV | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook stress probability 47.3%; price 2.12; conservative EV 0.3%; break-even odds 2.113; bet odds 2.198 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_rechecked_price; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook (A... |
| Uruguay v Cape Verde 2026-06-21 22:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 2.32 | 2.014+ | 49.6% | 15.2% | 0.029u | FORCED_POSITIVE_EV | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: BetOnline.ag stress probability 49.6%; price 2.32; conservative EV 15.2%; break-even odds 2.014; bet odds 2.096 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_integer_stake_floor; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: BetOnli... |
| New Zealand v Egypt 2026-06-22 01:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.995+ | 50.1% | -9.8% | 0.001u | FORCED_WEAK_OR_NEGATIVE_EV | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Unibet (SE) stress probability 50.1%; price 1.80; conservative EV -9.8%; break-even odds 1.995; bet odds 2.076 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_rechecked_price; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Unibet (SE)... |
| Argentina v Austria 2026-06-22 17:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 2.02 | 2.256+ | 44.3% | -10.4% | 0.001u | FORCED_WEAK_OR_NEGATIVE_EV | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook stress probability 44.3%; price 2.02; conservative EV -10.4%; break-even odds 2.256; bet odds 2.347 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_rechecked_price; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook... |
| France v Iraq 2026-06-22 21:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.336+ | 30.0% | -1.1% | 0.001u | FORCED_WEAK_OR_NEGATIVE_EV | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Betsson stress probability 30.0%; price 3.30; conservative EV -1.1%; break-even odds 3.336; bet odds 3.469 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_rechecked_price; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Betsson (AP... |
Today
| Match | Market | Selection | Seen | Needed | Model | EV | Cap | Source and rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No proof-only candidates cleared the live gate. | ||||||||
Actual placed0Bookmaker slips in actual ledger
Actual P/L0uOnly real recorded slips
Listed open2Recommendations, not bookmaker exposure
Shadow P/L-1.72uZero-stake forced-side audit
News Checked
| Fixture | Status | News used | Source | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador v Curaçao 2026-06-21 00:00:00.00 | news_matched | lineup: Ecuador - Curaçao Line-up: World Cup Football - TNT Sports | lineup: Ecuador vs Curaçao – Official lineups: A PSG player is a starter - MSN | lineup: Ecuador vs Curaçao Lineups, Live Streaming, TV Channels, How and Where to Watch In USA & Other Countr... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |
| Spain v Saudi Arabia 2026-06-21 16:00:00 UT | news_matched | lineup: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia predicted lineups, starting 11 for World Cup 2026 Group H game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium - sportingnews.com | lineup: Saudi Arabia XI vs Spain – Predicted lineup and team news - Yahoo Sports | lineup: Spain vs Saudi Arabia – Pred... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |
| Belgium v Iran 2026-06-21 19:00:00 UT | news_matched | injury: Belgium winger Doku ruled out of World Cup match against Iran due to illness - FlashScore UK | lineup: Belgium vs Iran – Predicted lineup and team news - Yahoo Sports | lineup: Belgium vs Iran Predicted Lineups & Team News - Betfred Insights | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |
| Uruguay v Cape Verde 2026-06-21 22:00:00 UT | news_matched | injury: Team News: Uruguay vs. Cape Verde injury, suspension list, predicted XIs | World Cup 2026 - Sports Mole | lineup: Uruguay vs Cape Verde Predicted Lineups & Team News - Betfred Insights | lineup: Cape Verde predicted lineup vs Uruguay for FIFA World Cu... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |
| New Zealand v Egypt 2026-06-22 01:00:00 UT | news_matched | lineup: Egypt predicted lineup and team news vs New Zealand - Yahoo Sports Canada | lineup: New Zealand vs Egypt Predicted Lineups & Team News - Betfred Insights | availability: David Raya: ‘When you lose a Champions League final it destroys you inside’ - The... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |
| Argentina v Austria 2026-06-22 17:00:00 UT | news_matched | injury: Argentina Dealt Severe Injury Blow Ahead of Crucial Austria Clash - The Daily Campus | lineup: Argentina hint at multiple changes to starting XI against Austria - daily-sun.com | lineup: Argentina vs Austria at World Cup 2026: TV channel, how to watch... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-06-21 07:32:00.79 |