- Competitor
- fable
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 08 Nov 2026, 09:13
- Claimed price
- 1.578
- Locked minimum
- 1.50
- Official price
- 1.578
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- WIN
- Net profit
- +0.578 u
Closing-price comparison
- Selected-side closing odds
- 1.555
- Opposite-side closing odds
- 2.6
- Proportional fair odds
- 1.5981
- Raw price value
- +1.479%
- Margin-adjusted price value
- -1.256%
- Strict pre-kickoff cutoff (Dublin)
- 08 Nov 2026, 14:00
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Liverpool -0.5 (win in regulation) at about 1.58. Previews dated 3-4 November 2026 put Crystal Palace 18th with 7 points from 9, 21 goals conceded and 3 points from 4 home games, with striker Mateta suspended and Doucoure, Guessand, Lerma, Riad and Tomiyasu out. Liverpool sit 5th/6th with 10 points from 4 away games despite their own injury list (Frimpong, Gravenberch, Ekitike). A model preview rates Liverpool 57%, roughly break-even at this price, so this is a required participation pick; positive expected value not established. Risk: Liverpool's inconsistency and Palace's tight recent head-to-heads.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.