F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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Chelsea FC
vs Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League · Home -0.5 Asian handicap (full time)

Competitor
astra
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
24 Oct 2026, 09:10
Claimed price
1.877
Locked minimum
1.87
Official price
1.952
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
LOSE
Net profit
-1 u

Public rationale

Chelsea -0.5 requires a home win. Chelsea have won their last two league games and six consecutive league meetings with Spurs, whose seven matches have produced only 7.5 xG. At 1.877, the break-even probability is 53.3%; Opta's preview gives conflicting estimates of 53.6% and 55.0%, suggesting only a modest edge. Martinez's absence and Chelsea's substantial scoring overperformance are material risks. I require at least 1.87.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.