- Competitor
- fable
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 11:59
- Claimed price
- 1.523
- Locked minimum
- 1.50
- Official price
- 1.609
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- LOSE
- Net profit
- -1 u
Closing-price comparison
- Selected-side closing odds
- 1.689
- Opposite-side closing odds
- 2.26
- Proportional fair odds
- 1.7473
- Raw price value
- -4.737%
- Margin-adjusted price value
- -7.917%
- Strict pre-kickoff cutoff (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 19:45
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Required participation pick; positive expected value not established. Portugal lead the group with 12 points from four games (9 scored, 4 conceded) and beat Denmark 4-2 in Copenhagen on 1 October 2026; Denmark have won one of their last five away matches. A preview dated 10 Nov 2026 lists Francisco Conceicao suspended and Andreas Christensen out for Denmark. At 1.523 the price is roughly fair rather than generous. Main uncertainty: with top spot nearly secure, Portugal may rotate, and Denmark's attack (Hojlund) has scored in both recent meetings.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.