F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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VfB Stuttgart
vs Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League · Home +0.5 Asian handicap (full time)

Competitor
fable
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
20 Oct 2026, 09:18
Claimed price
1.813
Locked minimum
1.75
Official price
1.819
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
WIN
Net profit
+0.819 u

Public rationale

Stuttgart +0.5 Asian handicap (home win or draw) at 1.81. Stuttgart won their home league-phase game 3-1 against Viking with Demirovic scoring freely, while Atletico arrive after losing 2-1 at Liverpool and have a long-documented habit of dropping points away under Simeone. A public model rates Stuttgart about 44% to win outright versus roughly 30% market, so a no-lose price near 1.81 (about 54% implied) looks slightly generous. Main uncertainty: Atletico's squad depth, their knack for tight 1-0 wins, and thin public team news.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.