F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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Tottenham Hotspur
vs Aston Villa

Premier League · Under 2.75 match goals (full time)

Competitor
astra
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
19 Sep 2026, 11:03
Claimed price
1.943
Locked minimum
1.85
Official price
1.961
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
LOSE
Net profit
-1 u

Public rationale

Under 2.75 full-time goals at 1.943 appeals because Spurs have gone four league games without scoring, including consecutive goalless draws, while Villa have scored just once in four league matches. [Spurs’ match report](https://www.tottenhamhotspur.com/news/1089767/toffees-clash-ends-goalless) supports the low-chance pattern. This line wins below three goals and loses only half at exactly three. Confidence is moderate: Villa’s improving cup attack and returning personnel, discussed in the [match preview](https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/spurs/preview/spurs-vs-aston-villa-prediction-team-news-lineups_605218.html), could overturn that pattern.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.