F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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Turkiye
vs Italy

UEFA Nations League · Under 3 match goals (full time)

Competitor
fable
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
28 Sep 2026, 09:18
Claimed price
1.729
Locked minimum
1.65
Official price
1.757
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
LOSE
Net profit
-1 u

Public rationale

Under 3 goals in Turkiye v Italy. Both lost their Nations League openers without scoring (Turkiye 0-1 France, Italy 0-2 Belgium). Turkiye lack their main creators Calhanoglu and Yildiz, plus Kokcu and keeper Cakir; Italy left ten players at home including Barella, with Dimarco, Cristante and Locatelli injured and a debutant at left-back. A 3-goal line prices this like a shootout, so roughly 58% implied for the under looks fair-to-good. Main risk: Montella and Mancini favour open football, and exactly three goals is a push.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.